$ 50,043 VolVerifiable resolution · pays $ 1.00 per correct share
Which film released in 2026 will end up with the highest box office worldwide?
Other31%
Avengers: Doomsday24%
Toy Story 523%
Michael22%
What will be the cumulative worldwide box office of Avengers: Doomsday by 02/28/2027?
From US$ 1,000,000,000 to US$ 1,499,999,99931%
Less than US$ 1,000,000,00027%
From US$ 1,500,000,000 to US$ 1,999,999,99921%
US$ 2,000,000,000 or more21%
In which range will the S&P 500 close in the last trading session of 2026?
De 7.000,00 até menos de 7.500,0027%
De 7.500,00 até menos de 8.000,0027%
8.000,00 ou mais25%
Abaixo de 7.000,0022%
Who will win Super Bowl LXI?
Which lab will have the #1 model on LMArena's overall text leaderboard on Jan. 31, 2027?
xAI or another30%
Google28%
Anthropic23%
OpenAI20%
Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House by the end of January 2027?
Hakeem Jeffries28%
Mike Johnson26%
Any other person26%
No Speaker elected by the end of January 202720%
Will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 31 December 2026?
52%chance
Will Giorgia Meloni still be President of the Council of Ministers of Italy on 31/01/2027?
85%chance
Who will be Premier of Quebec on 01/31/2027?
Who will be the first person publicly and officially disclosed as Taylor Swift's 'maid of honor' or 'matron of honor', in connection with her already-held wedding to Travis Kelce, by 2027-07-01?
Will there be at least one Taylor Swift family member among the publicly confirmed bridesmaids by 2027-07-01?
41%chance
Will Bitcoin price exceed US$ 150,000 before October 19, 2026?
45%chance
Will Germany elect its first female federal president in the next federal presidential election?
53%chance
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of São Paulo in October 2026?
Ricardo Salles (Novo)31%
Guilherme Derrite (PP)26%
Marina Silva (Rede)24%
Simone Tebet (PSB)20%
Will Pedro Sánchez officially be Prime Minister of Spain on 31/01/2027 at 23:59 Europe/Madrid?
42%chance
Which school will be the champion of the 2027 Rio de Janeiro Carnival Special Group?
Which candidate will be the most-voted for Senator of Bahia in October 2026? (In 2026 each state elects two senators; the market resolves to the single most-voted listed candidate.)
Rui Costa (PT)30%
Jaques Wagner (PT)28%
Angelo Coronel (Republicanos)25%
João Roma (PL)17%
Who will win the 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
Which listed candidate will finish first in the 2026 Senate election for the state of Rio de Janeiro, in the first round in October 2026?
Benedita da Silva (PT)29%
Felipe Curi (PP)27%
Pedro Paulo (PSD)23%
Marcelo Crivella (Republicans)21%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of the Federal District in October 2026?
Ibaneis Rocha (MDB)29%
Michelle Bolsonaro (PL)27%
Leila Barros (PDT)24%
Erika Kokay (PT)20%
What will the TCMB policy rate be after the 2026-12-10 monetary policy announcement?
Above 35.5%26%
33% to 35.5%26%
Below 30%24%
30% to less than 33%24%
In which range will the official USD/EGP exchange rate be on the last banking business day of 2026 in Egypt?
Greater than or equal to EGP 55.00 and less than EGP 60.0031%
Greater than or equal to EGP 50.00 and less than EGP 55.0028%
Greater than or equal to EGP 60.0021%
Less than EGP 50.0020%
Which party will win the most seats in the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
Bharatiya Janata Party34%
Samajwadi Party24%
Other/Draw23%
Bahujan Samaj Party20%
Who will lead the 2026-27 Border-Gavaskar Trophy after the first three Tests?
India38%
Australia33%
Series tied29%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Paraná in October 2026?
Sergio Moro (União Brasil)30%
Sandro Alex (Podemos)26%
Rafael Greca (PSD)24%
Roberto Requião Filho (PT)20%
Which candidate will place 1st for Senator of Santa Catarina in October 2026?
Which candidate will be in 1st place for Senator of Parana in October 2026?
Filipe Barros (PL)38%
Deltan Dallagnol (Novo)33%
Gleisi Hoffmann (PT)29%
Which candidate will receive the most valid votes for Senator in Pará in October 2026, according to the official TSE tally?
Helder Barbalho (MDB)29%
Éder Mauro (PL)26%
Paulo Rocha (PT)23%
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos)22%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Rio Grande do Sul in October 2026?
Onyx Lorenzoni (PL)30%
Brizola Neto (PDT)26%
Eduardo Leite (PSD)24%
Manuela d'Ávila (PCdoB)20%
Which candidate will be the most voted for Senator of Minas Gerais in the October 2026 elections? (In 2026, MG elects two senators; the market resolves to the single most-voted candidate.)
Aécio Neves (PSDB)29%
Marília Campos (PT)24%
Domingos Sávio (PL)24%
Carlos Viana (PSD)22%
What will Egypt's average urban inflation be in Q4 2026?
10%–11.9%28%
14% or more25%
12%–13.9%24%
Below 10%23%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Mato Grosso in October 2026?
Mauro Mendes (UB)29%
Margareth Buzetti (PSD)26%
Carlos Fávaro (PSD)24%
Júlio Campos (UB)21%
Which listed candidate will finish first in the 2026 Senate election in Pernambuco?
Marília Arraes (Solidarity)35%
Humberto Costa (PT)23%
Mendonça Filho (Brazil Union)22%
Miguel Coelho (União Brasil)20%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Pará in October 2026?
Hana Ghassan29%
Daniel Santos28%
Cleber Rabelo23%
Araceli Lemos20%
Which candidate will finish in 1st place in the 2026 Senate election in Ceará?
Capitão Wagner (UB)33%
Luizianne Lins (PT)25%
Roberto Cláudio (PDT)21%
Cid Gomes (PSB)21%
Which candidate will finish in 1st place among those listed for Senator of Goiás in October 2026?
Gracinha Caiado31%
Vanderlan Cardoso26%
Gustavo Gayer23%
Zacharias Calil20%
Which candidate will be in 1st place for Senator in Amazonas in October 2026?
Eduardo Braga (MDB)33%
Wilson Lima (UB)24%
Capitão Alberto Neto (PL)22%
Plínio Valério (PSDB)21%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Alagoas in October 2026?
Alfredo Gaspar (UB)27%
Renan Calheiros (MDB)26%
Arthur Lira (PP)25%
Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos)22%
Which candidate will place first in the 2026 Senate election in Espírito Santo, according to the final official TSE result?
Renato Casagrande (PSB)35%
Fabiano Contarato (PT)24%
Paulo Hartung (Cidadania)22%
Carlos Manato (PL)20%
Which candidate will finish in 1st place (most valid votes) for the Senate from Mato Grosso do Sul in the October 2026 election?
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Rondônia in October 2026?
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Rio Grande do Norte in October 2026?
Styvenson Valentim39%
Zenaide Maia22%
Fátima Bezerra20%
Álvaro Dias19%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Piauí in October 2026?
Júlio César30%
Marcelo Castro28%
Tiago Junqueira24%
Ciro Nogueira18%
Which candidate will come in 1st place in the vote for Senator from Sergipe in the first round on October 4, 2026?
Alessandro Vieira28%
André Moura27%
Eduardo Amorim24%
Rogério Carvalho21%
Which candidate will finish first among the listed candidates in the 2026 Brazilian Senate election in Maranhão?
Carlos Brandão (sem partido)31%
Weverton Rocha (PDT)28%
Roberto Rocha (Novo)22%
Roseana Sarney (MDB)19%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Tocantins in October 2026?
Eduardo Gomes (PL)36%
Vicentinho Júnior (PP)26%
Kátia Abreu (PP)21%
Irajá Abreu (PSD)17%
Which listed candidate will receive the most valid votes among the listed candidates in the 2026 Senate election in Paraíba in the first round?
João Azevêdo (PSB)35%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB)26%
Cabo Gilberto Silva (PL)24%
Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos)15%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Roraima in October 2026?
Hiran Gonçalves (PP)35%
Mecias de Jesus (Republicanos)26%
Romero Jucá (MDB)22%
Chico Rodrigues (PSB)17%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator from Acre in the first round of the 2026 election?
Gladson Cameli (PP)43%
Marcio Bittar (PL)31%
Jorge Viana (PT)26%
Which candidate will be the statewide top vote-getter for one of Amapá's Senate seats in the first round of the 2026 general election, on October 4, 2026?
Featured market · simulator
Will Bitcoin price exceed US$ 150,000 before October 19, 2026?
Current distribution · $ 50,043 total volume
YES · 45%NO · 55%
Calculator · taking position on YES
$
Summary · YES
You buy1,111 contracts · 45¢
If it wins$1,111.11 USDC+$611.11
If it loses$0.00 USDC−$500.00
Live activity
🇧🇷Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Rio Grande do Norte in October 2026?YES · POLITICS+$2 USDC4h
🇰🇷Will Giorgia Meloni still be President of the Council of Ministers of Italy on 31/01/2027?NO · POLITICS+$20 USDC4h
🇨🇦Which film released in 2026 will end up with the highest box office worldwide?YES · CINEMA+$16.16 USDC4h
🇧🇷Which candidate will be elected Governor of Maranhão in October 2026?YES · POLITICS+$2 USDC4h
🇧🇷Which listed candidate will finish first in the 2026 Senate election in Pernambuco?YES · POLITICS+$3 USDC4h
🇮🇳Which party will win the most seats in the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?YES · POLITICS+$4 USDC5h
🇧🇷Which listed candidate will finish first in the 2026 Senate election in Pernambuco?YES · POLITICS+$4 USDC5h
Top traders · 30d
01🇧🇷 0x415b…4752$ 5,062 USDC
02🇧🇷 0x19e4…6afa$ 4,915 USDC
03🇧🇷 0xa789…9c35$ 4,816 USDC
04🇧🇷 0x1610…1aa8$ 4,801 USDC
05🇧🇷 0x68f8…bccb$ 4,708 USDC
06🇧🇷 0xad31…0a99$ 4,693 USDC
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