Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos) 58%Fernando Haddad (PT) 42%
0%15%30%45%60%
Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos) 58%Fernando Haddad (PT) 42%
May 20Jun 15Jun 16
$ 2k VolVerifiable resolution · pays $ 1.00 per correct share
Which candidate will be elected Governor of São Paulo in October 2026?
42%chance
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in October 2026?
Eduardo Paes (PSD)49%
Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos)14%
Rodrigo Pimentel (Sem Partido)14%
Rodrigo Bacellar (União)12%
+1 →Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of São Paulo in October 2026?
Simone Tebet (PSB)29%
Guilherme Derrite (PP)27%
Marina Silva (Rede)26%
Ricardo Salles (Novo)18%
Which candidate will be the most voted for Senator of Minas Gerais in the October 2026 elections? (In 2026, MG elects two senators; the market resolves to the single most-voted candidate.)
Aécio Neves (PSDB)32%
Marília Campos (PT)31%
Carlos Viana (PSD)26%
Domingos Sávio (PL)12%
Which candidate will be in 1st place for Senator of Parana in October 2026?
Deltan Dallagnol (Novo)36%
Gleisi Hoffmann (PT)33%
Filipe Barros (PL)31%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of the Federal District in October 2026?
Michelle Bolsonaro (PL)35%
Ibaneis Rocha (MDB)27%
Leila Barros (PDT)20%
Erika Kokay (PT)18%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Paraná in October 2026?
Sergio Moro (União Brasil)49%
Roberto Requião Filho (PT)23%
Rafael Greca (PSD)19%
Sandro Alex (Podemos)10%
Which country will win the 2027 Junior Ice Hockey World Cup?
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Mato Grosso do Sul in October 2026?
Eduardo Riedel57%
Fábio Trad16%
Delcídio do Amaral16%
João Henrique Catan11%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of the Federal District in October 2026?
Celina Leão42%
José Roberto Arruda36%
Leandro Grass14%
Izalci Lucas8%
Which candidate will finish in 1st place among those listed for Senator of Goiás in October 2026?
Gracinha Caiado34%
Gustavo Gayer31%
Vanderlan Cardoso21%
Zacharias Calil14%
Which candidate will finish in 1st place (most valid votes) for the Senate from Mato Grosso do Sul in the October 2026 election?
Which listed candidate will finish first in the 2026 Senate election for the state of Rio de Janeiro, in the first round in October 2026?
Benedita da Silva (PT)37%
Marcelo Crivella (Republicans)23%
Pedro Paulo (PSD)23%
Felipe Curi (PP)17%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator from Acre in the first round of the 2026 election?
Gladson Cameli (PP)45%
Marcio Bittar (PL)30%
Jorge Viana (PT)25%
Which candidate will be the most-voted for Senator of Bahia in October 2026? (In 2026 each state elects two senators; the market resolves to the single most-voted listed candidate.)
Rui Costa (PT)39%
Jaques Wagner (PT)36%
João Roma (PL)15%
Angelo Coronel (Republicanos)9%
Which candidate will place 1st for Senator of Santa Catarina in October 2026?
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Alagoas in October 2026?
Renan Calheiros (MDB)36%
Alfredo Gaspar (UB)26%
Arthur Lira (PP)22%
Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos)16%
Which listed candidate will finish first in the 2026 Senate election in Pernambuco?
Marília Arraes (Solidarity)38%
Humberto Costa (PT)25%
Miguel Coelho (União Brasil)21%
Mendonça Filho (Brazil Union)17%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Rio Grande do Sul in October 2026?
Onyx Lorenzoni (PL)41%
Brizola Neto (PDT)34%
Eduardo Leite (PSD)16%
Manuela d'Ávila (PCdoB)10%
Which candidate will finish first among the listed candidates in the 2026 Brazilian Senate election in Maranhão?
Carlos Brandão (sem partido)39%
Roseana Sarney (MDB)24%
Weverton Rocha (PDT)21%
Roberto Rocha (Novo)16%
Who will be the Premier of Victoria on January 31, 2027?
66%chance
Which candidate will be in 1st place for Senator in Amazonas in October 2026?
Eduardo Braga (MDB)39%
Capitão Alberto Neto (PL)25%
Wilson Lima (UB)23%
Plínio Valério (PSDB)14%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Espírito Santo in October 2026?
Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos)43%
Ricardo Ferraço (MDB)35%
Magno Malta (PL)22%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Piauí in October 2026?
Marcelo Castro36%
Júlio César28%
Ciro Nogueira23%
Tiago Junqueira13%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Sergipe in October 2026?
Fábio Mitidieri (PSD)48%
Rogério Carvalho (PT)25%
Valmir de Francisquinho (PL)19%
Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT)9%
Which candidate will be the statewide top vote-getter for one of Amapá's Senate seats in the first round of the 2026 general election, on October 4, 2026?
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Alagoas in October 2026?
31%chance
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Rio Grande do Norte in October 2026?
Styvenson Valentim38%
Fátima Bezerra25%
Zenaide Maia20%
Álvaro Dias18%
Which listed candidate will receive the most valid votes among the listed candidates in the 2026 Senate election in Paraíba in the first round?
João Azevêdo (PSB)49%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB)36%
Cabo Gilberto Silva (PL)9%
Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos)7%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Roraima in October 2026?
Hiran Gonçalves (PP)36%
Mecias de Jesus (Republicanos)29%
Romero Jucá (MDB)21%
Chico Rodrigues (PSB)14%
Will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 31 December 2026?
52%chance
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Amazonas in October 2026?
Omar Aziz (PSD)39%
David Almeida (Avante)21%
Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL)20%
Roberto Cidade (UB)20%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Mato Grosso in October 2026?
Mauro Mendes (UB)40%
Margareth Buzetti (PSD)24%
Carlos Fávaro (PSD)20%
Júlio Campos (UB)16%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Acre in October 2026?
Alan Rick (Republicans)47%
Mailza Assis (PP)31%
Tião Bocalom (PL)22%
Which candidate will finish in 1st place in the 2026 Senate election in Ceará?
Cid Gomes (PSB)33%
Capitão Wagner (UB)33%
Luizianne Lins (PT)18%
Roberto Cláudio (PDT)16%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Amapá in October 2026?
71%chance
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Tocantins in October 2026?
Professora Dorinha59%
Eduardo Gomes16%
Ronaldo Dimas15%
Ataídes de Oliveira11%
Which candidate will place first in the 2026 Senate election in Espírito Santo, according to the final official TSE result?
Renato Casagrande (PSB)45%
Paulo Hartung (Cidadania)24%
Carlos Manato (PL)17%
Fabiano Contarato (PT)14%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Tocantins in October 2026?
Eduardo Gomes (PL)37%
Vicentinho Júnior (PP)25%
Kátia Abreu (PP)22%
Irajá Abreu (PSD)16%
Which candidate will come in 1st place for Senator of Rondônia in October 2026?
Which candidate will come in 1st place in the vote for Senator from Sergipe in the first round on October 4, 2026?
Alessandro Vieira31%
André Moura27%
Rogério Carvalho25%
Eduardo Amorim17%
Which candidate will receive the most valid votes for Senator in Pará in October 2026, according to the official TSE tally?
Helder Barbalho (MDB)47%
Éder Mauro (PL)27%
Zequinha Marinho (Podemos)14%
Paulo Rocha (PT)12%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Rio Grande do Norte in October 2026?
Allyson Bezerra (UB)44%
Walter Alves (MDB)28%
Rogério Marinho (PL)18%
Natália Bonavides (PT)10%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Paraíba in October 2026?
Lucas Ribeiro (PP)39%
Cícero Lucena (MDB)36%
Efraim Filho (PL)25%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Pernambuco in October 2026?
João Campos (PSB)48%
Raquel Lyra (PSD)36%
Anderson Ferreira (PL)8%
Miguel Coelho (União Brasil)8%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Maranhão in October 2026?
Eduardo Braide (PSD)49%
Orleans Brandão (MDB)24%
Felipe Camarão (PT)16%
Lahesio Bonfim (Novo)11%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Rondônia in October 2026?
Marcos Rogério (PL)56%
Adailton Fúria (PSD)27%
Hildon Chaves (UB)16%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Roraima in October 2026?
56%chance
Which candidate will be officially elected Governor of Piauí in the 2026 election, after all applicable rounds and official certification?
Rafael Fonteles (PT)70%
Ciro Nogueira (PP)26%
Mainha (Podemos)3%
Which candidate will be elected Governor of Pará in October 2026?
Daniel Santos48%
Hana Ghassan42%
Cleber Rabelo6%
Araceli Lemos4%
Featured market · simulator
Which candidate will be the most-voted for Senator of Bahia in October 2026? (In 2026 each state elects two senators; the market resolves to the single most-voted listed candidate.)
Current distribution · $ 200 total volume
Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) · 9%Others · 91%
Calculator · Angelo Coronel (Republicanos)
$
Summary · Angelo Coronel (Republicanos)
You buy5,555 contracts · 9¢
If it wins$5,555.56+$5,055.56
If it loses$0.00−$500.00
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