Manage your bankroll, not just your positions
A bankroll is the risk capital you set aside specifically for prediction markets — separate from savings and bills. Managing it well is what keeps a string of bad outcomes from becoming a real problem.
Why bankroll matters
Even a well-reasoned position can lose. Bankroll management is the discipline of sizing positions so that variance — the natural ups and downs — never wipes you out.
Dedicated funds
Use only capital you can afford to lose, ring-fenced from essential expenses.
Consistent unit size
Express positions as a small % of the bankroll, not as round cash amounts.
Survive variance
Small units mean a losing streak dents you, it doesn't end you.
No recovering at any cost
A loss is the cost of participating — never a debt to win back with larger positions.
A simple framework
Units in practice
With a 1,000 USDC bankroll and a 2% unit, each position is sized around 20 USDC — regardless of how confident a single market feels.